jestify on Instagram: "The clip from Two and a Half Men's season 1 episode "Big Flappy Bastards" (2003) depicts Charlie Harper schooling nephew Jake on horse betting odds, warning that 80-to-1 long shots rarely win—yet the horse pulls off an upset, netting Jake $2,400 on a $30 bet. Charlie's lesson mirrors real-world probability: in thoroughbred racing, favorites win 30-35% of races per historical data, while extreme long shots like 80-to-1 succeed under 1% of the time, emphasizing risk over rew