Stocks often rise the week of the Fed’s big Jackson Hole gathering. Don’t count on it this year.

The SPDR S&P 500 exchange-traded fund (SPY) currently has a consensus Moderate Buy rating among 504 Wall Street analysts. That rating is based on 425 Buy, 73 Hold, and six Sell recommendations issued in the last three months. The average SPY price target of $718.24 implies 13.47% upside from current levels.