Asteroid impact threat estimates improved for Earth and Moon

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NASA’s Webb telescope captures photos of the asteroid that won’t hit Earth in 2032
NASA's Webb telescope has captured pictures of the asteroid that caused a stir earlier this year when it topped Earth's hit list.
Earth Is Safe From Menacing Asteroid—but Our Moon Might Take the Hit
New Webb Telescope data confirms that asteroid 2024 YR4 poses no threat to Earth during its 2032 flyby. As for the Moon, not so much.
Asteroid impact threat estimates improved for the Earth and the moon
YR4, first discovered in December 2024, triggered a first-ever notification from the International Asteroid Warning Network (IAWN) on January 29, 2025. The early calculations predicted an impact probability of 1.

Moon, Asteroid

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Asteroid Large Enough to Destroy an Entire City Could Still Strike the Moon in 2032, Scientists Say
The infamous 'city-killer' asteroid 2024 YR4, which is large enough to destroy an entire city, still has a 2% chance of striking the moon on Dec. 22, 2032, according to scientists.
"City-killer" asteroid has slim chance of striking moon, experts say
YR4 asteroid has a near-zero chance of striking Earth, but a slim chance of hitting the moon, new research says.
'City-Killer' Asteroid Impact Still a Possibility (Just Not With Earth)
The Moon might still be in the asteroid firing line. According to a report led by planetary astronomer Andrew Rivkin of Johns Hopkins University, 2024 YR4 has a small chance of smacking into the Moon when the asteroid next flies close to Earth in December 2032.
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Remember that asteroid everyone was worried about 2 months ago? The JWST just got a clear view of it
Shortly after it was discovered, astronomers calculated that the asteroid had a 1-in-83 chance of hitting Earth in 2032 — ...
Q&A: Webb finds asteroid 2024 YR4 is building-sized
NASA's James Webb Space Telescope recently turned its watchful eye toward asteroid 2024 YR4, which we now know poses no ...
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James Webb telescope takes emergency look at 'city-killer' asteroid 2024 YR4 ahead of close encounter in 2032
The James Webb Space Telescope has taken its first look at the near-Earth asteroid 2024 YR4 before a perilous close approach ...
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Next month NASA's Lucy probe will visit an asteroid that's been waiting 150 million years to say hello
"These relics are effectively fossils of the planet formation process, holding vital clues to deciphering the history of our ...
‘Potentially Hazardous’ Asteroid To Make Its Closest Approach To Earth In More Than 100 Years This Week
A "potentially hazardous" Apollo-class asteroid will be making its closest pass by Earth in more than 100 years this week.