Back in the late 1980s, three University of Iowa professors believed they could predict polling data better than the pollsters at that time, leading to the creation of a site allowing users to place ...

Kalshi, the prediction marketplace for betting on news events and real-world outcomes, has racked up a list of notable successes over the past few years. The site successfully predicted President ...

Prediction markets, which allow wagers on almost anything in politics, business or culture, takes betting to a new level. They're also raising alarms.

The stage is set for the Big Game, and many Americans have begun researching the most exciting betting markets for the big game. If you’re in a state that hasn’t legalized sports betting, a prediction ...

Economists have noticed that betting markets like Kalshi and Polymarket are pretty good at predicting not just political events but economic data, too. Credit...Andrea Chronopoulos Supported by By ...