Last week, I suggested backing the Bengals at +7 and under 43.5 in the Commanders-Vikings game. Both are now +EV bets. We’re in a good position this week. Let’s see if we can do the same for our NFL Week 15 picks.

The Houston Texans (7-5) bring a four-game winning streak into a matchup with the Kansas City Chiefs (6-6) on Sunday, December 7, 2025 at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.

Patrick Mahomes finished with 261 yards on 23-34 passing (67.6%) in the Chiefs' last game, tossing four touchdowns, plus three rushing attempts for 30 yards.